Master the Art of Trendline Drawing

Mastering trendline drawing isn’t as complex as it might seem. By learning the basic principles of connecting price points and identifying trends, you can develop a reliable skill that improves your trading decisions. Whether you’re analyzing stocks, forex, or commodities, proper trendline construction serves as your foundation for spotting potential market moves.

TLDR

  • Establish trendlines by connecting at least two significant price points, ensuring alignment with the market’s natural rhythm.
  • Focus on consistency and precision when drawing lines, avoiding rushed or misaligned connections between price points.
  • Choose appropriate timeframes for analysis, with higher timeframes providing more reliable signals for long-term trend identification.
  • Monitor price reactions at trendline touches to validate support and resistance levels and confirm line accuracy.
  • Apply advanced techniques like trendline fanning to identify market exhaustion points and potential trend reversals.

What Are Trendlines?

Trend lines, used in technical analysis, represent either support or resistance levels, depending on the direction of the trend. They function similarly to horizontal support and resistance.

Markets move up, down, and sideways. When a market is trending, analyzing the impulse and corrective swings can reveal the strength or weakness of that trend.

In an upward trending market, impulse moves are typically larger than the corrective declines that move against the trend. This indicates that demand remains high for that particular market.

As buying interest diminishes, impulse moves become shorter and less intense. The size of corrections may become larger.

Eventually, buyers will exhaust themselves and supply will enter the market. At this point, corrections will become larger than the impulse moves.

HIGHER HIGHS AND LOWS TREND

This graphic shows the typical uptrend in action. Large thrusting impulse moves with smaller corrections.

Notice when we see larger corrections that either sellers are stepping in or buyers are unloading their positions.  Either way, it’s possible we will see smaller impulse moves.  In our example graphic, we see a lower high and then a new lower low is put in.

Being in tune with the swings in this example can give  you a “heads up” to either lighten a position, take a quick scalping trade or to refrain from entering any new long positions. Once momentum to the downside occurs, this may be the time to exit a position.

The next image shows a trend line trading technique of connecting the lows which can help you determine when a change of state in the market has occurred.

This does not mean a trend change but is a visual clue that at this point in time, what was a steady uptrend has met some strong selling.

TRENDLINE BREAKING

After the trend line breaks, we could:

  • See a retest of the highs
  • See a test of the trend line
  • A consolidation could begin
  • A complex correction takes place which is a two legged pullback.

You can also clone the bottom trend line and place it on the highs.

TRENDLINE CHANNEL

This is called a trendline channel where the top line is used to measure momentum.  Once the upper line is broken, traders will either look to short the market or play reversals after the breakout pullback price move.

Fanning Trendlines

Large price moves can sometimes cause the current trendline to deviate significantly from the current price. These situations can be challenging, as some traders interpret them as signs of strong market interest and choose to position themselves in the direction of the break.

Other traders view these same moves with skepticism, seeing them as unusual deviations from the normal trend. These traders often prefer to stay out of the market, believing they’re witnessing a climax or exhaustion move in the instrument.

When drawing trendlines, consistency is important. One important rule to consider, particularly in a downtrend, is to connect the most recent high to the lows.

This ensures the relevant swings are being used and can also give you a steeper trend line that is in tune with the market rhythm.

You can see that you also get an earlier trend line break while keeping in tune with price action.

Keys To Drawing An Effective Trendline

There is no hard and fast rule when it comes to drawing a trend line correctly but you should have a consistent method of choosing the lows or highs you will use in their construction.

The first key is you need to have at least 2 points to begin a trend line.

2 POINTS TO DRAW A TRENDLINE

Two easy to find points ( I also included a lower channel connecting the swing lows) and extended to the right. Is there a price pattern you can see at the third touch to initiate a trade?

If not, the pullback to the upper line is a short term uptrend.  We can draw a trend line on that.

TREND LINE BREAK ENTRY

Traders can play a break of the up trendline and place their stops over the high.  We will then see the current trend continue to the downside.

Use higher time frame for trend line swings

On lower time frames, we can get many highs and lows while there are generally less on higher time frame charts.

HIGHER TIME FRAME TREND LINE

On this daily chart, you can see that breaks of higher time frame lines can lead to bigger moves in the opposite trend direction.

Why?  Time.

The more time it’s in place, the more time other traders are able to see the same zones as you.  The more traders involved, the better the reaction will be.

Once we start to get above daily charts, we can then use trend lines for targets.

HIGHER TIME FRAME TARGETS

This chart is a daily chart and using a weekly trend line.

You can see we fanned trend lines as the uptrend continued.  As price was reaching the zone of the weekly trendline, we began to see resistance set in.

Price rejected up into the trend line until price eventually gapped over it.

Try not to cut through candles.

There are some that will say that cutting through candles is ok but that will disregard the tips of swing highs and lows at times.

Do those matter?

They certainly do if you got stopped out at those tips so they should matter with your drawings.

CUTTING THROUGH CANDLES

This example shows an irrelevant trendline. If a trader played the break to the upside, they are quickly taken out of that trade.

This is ties into another tip….

Ensure the last swing into lows or highs is connected.

LAST SWING

Notice the difference between the last two graphics.

While a break of the trendline entry would have had you under water, there are areas where price gives you trade management areas.

You will also note that the pullback after the break, stops in the zone of the trend line giving you an opportunity for an entry.

1-2-3 Reversals With Trend Lines

This is a good rules based approach to trend reversals and comes from Vic Sperandeo.

123 REVERSAL

In this example, we are using a 60 minute time frame chart.

  1. Price puts in a high and begins to pull back
  2. Price breaks the trend line to the downside
  3. We see price test the backside of the trendline trying to retest highs and fails.

Once price breaks the low at 2 and holds, you can consider a down trend is in place.

Keep in mind this will look different depending on the time frame.  On a higher time frame, we may not get a retest that is as obvious as this one.  We also may get a break further down in the pullback.

This is why it is vital for you to know your timeframes you will trade.

On a one hour chart, this may be a leading to a two legged pullback and will resume the uptrend.

On daily chart and above, this could be a complete change of trend.

A Few Simple Trend Lines Can Equal A Strategy

There are numerous ways to design trading strategies using trend lines.

Learning to draw trend lines consistently is a fundamental skill that you can master easily. While mastering the technique is one thing, executing it in real time is an entirely different challenge.

Trend lines aren’t foolproof, but they can provide zones where you can identify potential price reversals or continuations to help position your trades.

Practice applying trend lines consistently using either method, then dedicate time studying charts to observe how price behaves when it encounters these lines.

Your Questions Answered

How Do Algorithmic Trading Systems Incorporate Trendlines Into Their Decision-Making Processes?

Your algorithmic strategies can use trendlines as key inputs for automated trading decisions.

Trendline algorithms monitor price action, identify support and resistance levels, and execute trades when breakouts occur. You’ll find these systems often combine multiple timeframes to confirm trends and generate signals.

They’re programmed to recognize price patterns, calculate trend angles, and assess momentum before making buy or sell decisions.

Can Trendlines Be Effectively Combined With Elliott Wave Theory for Better Predictions?

You can effectively combine trendlines with Elliott wave patterns to improve your market predictions.

When you spot trendline intersections that align with wave counts, you’ll have stronger confirmation of potential reversals or continuations.

Watch for key wave patterns breaking through established trendlines, as these often signal important market shifts.

This combination gives you a more complete picture of market structure and momentum.

What Role Do Volume Patterns Play When Confirming Trendline Breaks?

You’ll want to pay close attention to volume when watching for trendline breaks.

Higher volume during a break signals stronger confirmation, showing more traders are backing the move.

If you’re seeing low volume during a break signal, it might be a false breakout.

Look for volume spikes that match the direction of the break – they’ll help validate that the trendline break is genuine.

How Do Different Market Conditions Affect the Reliability of Trendline Analysis?

Market conditions greatly impact your trendline analysis.

In high volatility periods, you’ll find trendlines break more frequently, making trend reliability less predictable.

During stable markets, trendlines tend to hold better and provide clearer signals.

You’ll notice that low-volume environments can lead to false breakouts, while strong trending markets with consistent volume offer more dependable trendline patterns for your trading decisions.

What Is the Optimal Number of Trendlines to Monitor Simultaneously?

You’ll find that monitoring 2-4 key trendlines is most effective for simultaneous tracking.

Don’t overwhelm yourself with too many lines, as this can lead to confusion and missed opportunities.

Focus on the most significant trendlines that align with your trading timeframe.

If you’re day trading, you might track shorter-term lines, while swing traders should concentrate on major trend levels that span longer periods.

Conclusion

You’ve learned the key aspects of drawing effective trendlines, from mastering basic construction to applying advanced techniques. Remember that practice and patience are essential to success. Don’t forget to integrate risk management and maintain emotional discipline when trading with trendlines. By following these guidelines and staying consistent with your approach, you’ll develop a reliable tool for your trading strategy.



Author: Shane Daly
Shane started on his trading career in 2005 and sought a more structured approach to his trading methodology. This lead becoming a Netpick's customer in 2008. His expertise lies in technical analysis, incorporating a macro overview for effective trade filtering. Shane's trading philosophy has been influenced by several prominent traders, contributing to his composed and methodical approach to market engagement. Initially focusing on day trading in the Forex market, Shane has since transitioned to a swing and position trading strategy across various markets, including stocks and futures. This shift has allowed him to optimize his time management without compromising his trading performance. By adopting longer-term trading horizons, Shane has successfully reduced his screen time while maintaining consistent returns.